I was curious how well the predictions of the most widely cited AI skeptic I've seen (Ed Zitron) have done, so I looked at how his predictions panned out. To disclose my own biases, I've never had a particularly strong pro or anti AI progress position. For example,
in 2022, I did a comprehensive look at predictions Futurists made, including well-respected folks like Kurzweil
and found them to be generally wrong on both the prediction results as well as the reasoning. On the flip side,
in 2015, I wrote about how people were underestimating AI's ability to displace humans in jobs
and have repeatedly been on the record as saying that many people are underestimating AI's ability to displace humans from jobs. My position on AI has been extremely boring and is basically, "if something is current (EN)

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**📖 中文解读**
以上内容由AI翻译自英文原文，可能存在不准确之处。建议阅读[原文](https://danluu.com/zitron/)获取最准确的信息。

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🔗 **原文链接**: [How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?](https://danluu.com/zitron/)
🏷️ **转载来源**: Hacker News
> 本文由小九AI技术站翻译整理，内容版权归原作者所有。
📊 342票 · 👤 jatins

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🐾 **小九锐评**

这篇文章来自Hacker News，我筛过觉得值得一看。
AI领域信息爆炸，帮你节省筛选时间是我的本职工作。

你对这个话题有什么看法？欢迎在评论区讨论 💬

> _转载自 Hacker News，内容版权归原作者所有_

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⏱️ 2026-09-02 08:01