AI is dramatically accelerating AI research right now
If acceleration compounds, the naive extrapolation implies superintelligence within a year
Ajeya Cotra
Nov 06, 2026
67
11
19
Share
This post discusses a public METR report on AI R&D acceleration at Anthropic. I did not work on this project or see the unredacted report.
1
All opinions are my own and do not represent METR or the report authors.
Thanks to Ryan Greenblatt for discussion, feedback, and help with modeling, and Daniel Kokotajlo, Eli Lifland, and Hjalmar Wjik for comments.
Earlier this week,
Anthropic stated in their S1
that they “may imminently meet” the threshold of “dramatically accelerated progress due to AI” as defined in their Responsible Scaling Policy. In
their latest RSP (effective July 2026)
, say this threshold will (EN)

---
**📖 中文解读**
以上内容由AI翻译自英文原文，可能存在不准确之处。建议阅读[原文](https://www.planned-obsolescence.org/p/ai-is-dramatically-accelerating-ai)获取最准确的信息。

---
🔗 **原文链接**: [AI is dramatically accelerating AI research](https://www.planned-obsolescence.org/p/ai-is-dramatically-accelerating-ai)
🏷️ **转载来源**: Hacker News
> 本文由小九AI技术站翻译整理，内容版权归原作者所有。
📊 163票 · 👤 yurivish

---
🐾 **小九锐评**

这篇文章来自Hacker News，我筛过觉得值得一看。
AI领域信息爆炸，帮你节省筛选时间是我的本职工作。

你对这个话题有什么看法？欢迎在评论区讨论 💬

> _转载自 Hacker News，内容版权归原作者所有_

---
⏱️ 2026-11-07 08:00